StraviaX Weekly Report
Forex Macro Bias Report — Week of 8 June 2026
Weekly FX macro bias report covering directional pressure, conviction, COT positioning, sentiment, central banks and seasonality across 28 FX pairs for the week of 8 June 2026.
Confluence scores identify macro bias and pair selection. They do not generate trade entries or execution signals.
| Pair | Score | Bias | Top driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | -3 | Bearish | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2) |
| GBPUSD | -9 | Strong Bear | COT Positioning: bearish (-1) |
| USDJPY | +3 | Bullish | COT Positioning: bullish (+1) |
| USDCHF | +2 | Bullish | COT Positioning: strongly bullish (+2) |
| AUDUSD | -7 | Strong Bear | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| USDCAD | +5 | Strong Bull | COT Positioning: strongly bullish (+2) |
| NZDUSD | -2 | Bearish | COT Positioning: strongly bearish (-2) |
| EURGBP | +6 | Strong Bull | COT Positioning: bullish (+1) |
| EURJPY | +1 | Mild Bull | COT Positioning: bullish (+1) |
| EURCHF | 0 | Neutral | COT Positioning: bullish (+1) |
| EURAUD | +3 | Bullish | GDP: strongly bullish (+2) |
| EURCAD | +3 | Bullish | COT Positioning: bullish (+1) |
| EURNZD | 0 | Neutral | COT Positioning: bullish (+1) |
| GBPJPY | -4 | Strong Bear | Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2) |
| GBPCHF | -7 | Strong Bear | Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2) |
| GBPAUD | -1 | Mild Bear | COT Positioning: bearish (-1) |
| GBPCAD | -5 | Strong Bear | COT Positioning: bearish (-1) |
| GBPNZD | -8 | Strong Bear | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2) |
| AUDJPY | -3 | Bearish | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| AUDCHF | -5 | Strong Bear | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| AUDCAD | -2 | Bearish | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| NZDJPY | +3 | Bullish | Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1) |
| NZDCHF | 0 | Neutral | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| NZDCAD | +2 | Bullish | Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2) |
| CADJPY | -2 | Bearish | COT Positioning: bearish (-1) |
| CADCHF | -1 | Mild Bear | Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2) |
| CHFJPY | +1 | Mild Bull | Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bullish (+2) |
| AUDNZD | -2 | Bearish | Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2) |
EURUSD — Bearish (-3)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): bearish (-1)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
- Seasonality: bullish (+1)
June seasonality is historically bullish for EURUSD (avg +0.4%).
GBPUSD — Strong Bear (-9)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bearish (-1)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
June has no strong seasonal pattern for GBPUSD (avg +0.3%).
USDJPY — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bullish (+1)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
June has no strong seasonal pattern for USDJPY (avg -0.3%).
USDCHF — Bullish (+2)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: strongly bullish (+2)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
June has no strong seasonal pattern for USDCHF (avg -0.2%).
AUDUSD — Strong Bear (-7)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: strongly bullish (+2)
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
June has no strong seasonal pattern for AUDUSD (avg +0.2%).
USDCAD — Strong Bull (+5)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: strongly bullish (+2)
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Seasonality: bearish (-1)
June seasonality is historically bearish for USDCAD (avg -0.4%).
NZDUSD — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: strongly bearish (-2)
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
June has no strong seasonal pattern for NZDUSD (avg +0.3%).
EURGBP — Strong Bull (+6)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bullish (+1)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): bearish (-1)
June seasonality data unavailable for EURGBP.
EURJPY — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bullish (+1)
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): bullish (+1)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
June seasonality data unavailable for EURJPY.
EURCHF — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bullish (+1)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): bullish (+1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
June seasonality data unavailable for EURCHF.
EURAUD — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): bullish (+1)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: bearish (-1)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
June seasonality data unavailable for EURAUD.
EURCAD — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bullish (+1)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): bullish (+1)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
June seasonality data unavailable for EURCAD.
EURNZD — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bullish (+1)
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
June seasonality data unavailable for EURNZD.
GBPJPY — Strong Bear (-4)
Key drivers
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): bearish (-1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: bullish (+1)
June seasonality data unavailable for GBPJPY.
GBPCHF — Strong Bear (-7)
Key drivers
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
June seasonality data unavailable for GBPCHF.
GBPAUD — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bearish (-1)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
June seasonality data unavailable for GBPAUD.
GBPCAD — Strong Bear (-5)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bearish (-1)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
June seasonality data unavailable for GBPCAD.
GBPNZD — Strong Bear (-8)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bullish (+2)
June seasonality data unavailable for GBPNZD.
AUDJPY — Bearish (-3)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: bullish (+1)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): bullish (+1)
June seasonality data unavailable for AUDJPY.
AUDCHF — Strong Bear (-5)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: strongly bullish (+2)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
June seasonality data unavailable for AUDCHF.
AUDCAD — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
- Seasonality: bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: strongly bullish (+2)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2)
June seasonality data unavailable for AUDCAD.
NZDJPY — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- Unemployment: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: bearish (-1)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bearish (-2)
June seasonality data unavailable for NZDJPY.
NZDCHF — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: bearish (-1)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bearish (-2)
June seasonality data unavailable for NZDCHF.
NZDCAD — Bullish (+2)
Key drivers
- Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: strongly bearish (-2)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bearish (-2)
June seasonality data unavailable for NZDCAD.
CADJPY — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- COT Positioning: bearish (-1)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Seasonality: bullish (+1)
June seasonality data unavailable for CADJPY.
CADCHF — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
- Seasonality: bullish (+1)
June seasonality data unavailable for CADCHF.
CHFJPY — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- Retail Sentiment (contrarian): strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: bearish (-1)
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
June seasonality data unavailable for CHFJPY.
AUDNZD — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- COT Positioning: strongly bullish (+2)
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
June seasonality data unavailable for AUDNZD.