StraviaX Weekly Report
Forex Macro Bias Report — Week of 31 August 2026
Weekly FX macro bias report covering directional pressure, conviction, COT positioning, sentiment, central banks and seasonality across 28 FX pairs for the week of 31 August 2026.
Data freshness — Scores calculated 2026-09-06T09:00:07.931+00:00 · COT report 2026-09-01 · Retail sentiment snapshot 2026-09-06 · Central bank rates verified 2026-07-17T12:26:19.314853+00:00.
Confluence scores identify macro bias and pair selection. They do not generate trade entries or execution signals.
| Pair | Score | Bias | Top driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUDNZD | -6 | Strong Bear | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| NZDCHF | +5 | Strong Bull | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| NZDCAD | +5 | Strong Bull | GDP: strongly bullish (+2) |
| AUDJPY | -4 | Strong Bear | CPI: strongly bearish (-2) |
| EURUSD | +3 | Bullish | GDP: strongly bullish (+2) |
| NZDUSD | +3 | Bullish | GDP: strongly bullish (+2) |
| EURCHF | +3 | Bullish | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| EURCAD | +3 | Bullish | CPI: strongly bullish (+2) |
| AUDCHF | -3 | Bearish | Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2) |
| NZDJPY | +3 | Bullish | Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1) |
| USDJPY | -2 | Bearish | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| EURAUD | +2 | Bullish | CPI: strongly bullish (+2) |
| EURNZD | -2 | Bearish | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| CADJPY | -2 | Bearish | CPI: strongly bearish (-2) |
| CHFJPY | -2 | Bearish | Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1) |
| USDCHF | -1 | Mild Bear | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| AUDUSD | -1 | Mild Bear | Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2) |
| EURGBP | +1 | Mild Bull | GDP: strongly bullish (+2) |
| EURJPY | +1 | Mild Bull | Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1) |
| GBPCHF | -1 | Mild Bear | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| GBPAUD | -1 | Mild Bear | Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1) |
| GBPNZD | -1 | Mild Bear | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| AUDCAD | +1 | Mild Bull | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| GBPUSD | 0 | Neutral | CPI: strongly bullish (+2) |
| USDCAD | 0 | Neutral | Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1) |
| GBPJPY | 0 | Neutral | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| GBPCAD | 0 | Neutral | Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1) |
| CADCHF | 0 | Neutral | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
AUDNZD — Strong Bear (-6)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for AUDNZD.
NZDCHF — Strong Bull (+5)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality data unavailable for NZDCHF.
NZDCAD — Strong Bull (+5)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality data unavailable for NZDCAD.
AUDJPY — Strong Bear (-4)
Key drivers
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for AUDJPY.
EURUSD — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality is historically bearish for EURUSD (avg -0.6%) — conflicts with the bullish bias.
NZDUSD — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality is historically bearish for NZDUSD (avg -0.4%) — conflicts with the bullish bias.
EURCHF — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURCHF.
EURCAD — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality data unavailable for EURCAD.
AUDCHF — Bearish (-3)
Key drivers
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for AUDCHF.
NZDJPY — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
September seasonality data unavailable for NZDJPY.
USDJPY — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
September seasonality is historically bullish for USDJPY (avg +0.8%) — conflicts with the bearish bias.
EURAUD — Bullish (+2)
Key drivers
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURAUD.
EURNZD — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURNZD.
CADJPY — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
September seasonality data unavailable for CADJPY.
CHFJPY — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
September seasonality data unavailable for CHFJPY.
USDCHF — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality is historically bullish for USDCHF (avg +0.5%) — conflicts with the bearish bias.
AUDUSD — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality is historically bearish for AUDUSD (avg -0.5%) — aligns with the bearish bias.
EURGBP — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURGBP.
EURJPY — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURJPY.
GBPCHF — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPCHF.
GBPAUD — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPAUD.
GBPNZD — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPNZD.
AUDCAD — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
September seasonality data unavailable for AUDCAD.
GBPUSD — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality is historically bearish for GBPUSD (avg -0.8%).
USDCAD — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality is historically bullish for USDCAD (avg +0.6%).
GBPJPY — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPJPY.
GBPCAD — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPCAD.
CADCHF — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality data unavailable for CADCHF.