StraviaX Weekly Report
Forex Macro Bias Report — Week of 7 September 2026
Weekly FX macro bias report covering directional pressure, conviction, COT positioning, sentiment, central banks and seasonality across 28 FX pairs for the week of 7 September 2026.
Data freshness — Scores calculated 2026-09-13T09:00:14.446+00:00 · COT report 2026-09-08 · Retail sentiment snapshot 2026-09-06 · Central bank rates verified 2026-09-07T08:05:03.679299+00:00.
Confluence scores identify macro bias and pair selection. They do not generate trade entries or execution signals.
| Pair | Score | Bias | Top driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| NZDCAD | +6 | Strong Bull | GDP: strongly bullish (+2) |
| AUDCAD | +5 | Strong Bull | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| NZDCHF | +5 | Strong Bull | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| GBPAUD | -4 | Strong Bear | Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1) |
| NZDJPY | +4 | Strong Bull | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| USDCAD | +3 | Bullish | Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1) |
| NZDUSD | +3 | Bullish | GDP: strongly bullish (+2) |
| AUDNZD | -3 | Bearish | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| CADJPY | -3 | Bearish | CPI: strongly bearish (-2) |
| GBPUSD | -2 | Bearish | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| EURAUD | -2 | Bearish | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2) |
| EURCAD | +2 | Bullish | CPI: strongly bullish (+2) |
| EURNZD | -2 | Bearish | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| CHFJPY | -2 | Bearish | Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1) |
| EURUSD | -1 | Mild Bear | Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1) |
| USDCHF | +1 | Mild Bull | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| EURGBP | +1 | Mild Bull | GDP: strongly bullish (+2) |
| EURJPY | +1 | Mild Bull | Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1) |
| EURCHF | +1 | Mild Bull | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| GBPCHF | -1 | Mild Bear | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| GBPCAD | +1 | Mild Bull | Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1) |
| GBPNZD | -1 | Mild Bear | GDP: strongly bearish (-2) |
| AUDJPY | -1 | Mild Bear | CPI: strongly bearish (-2) |
| CADCHF | -1 | Mild Bear | Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2) |
| USDJPY | 0 | Neutral | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| AUDUSD | 0 | Neutral | Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1) |
| GBPJPY | 0 | Neutral | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
| AUDCHF | 0 | Neutral | Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2) |
NZDCAD — Strong Bull (+6)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
September seasonality data unavailable for NZDCAD.
AUDCAD — Strong Bull (+5)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
September seasonality data unavailable for AUDCAD.
NZDCHF — Strong Bull (+5)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality data unavailable for NZDCHF.
GBPAUD — Strong Bear (-4)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPAUD.
NZDJPY — Strong Bull (+4)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
September seasonality data unavailable for NZDJPY.
USDCAD — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- Retail Sales: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality is historically bullish for USDCAD (avg +0.6%) — aligns with the bullish bias.
NZDUSD — Bullish (+3)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
September seasonality is historically bearish for NZDUSD (avg -0.4%) — conflicts with the bullish bias.
AUDNZD — Bearish (-3)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bullish (+1)
September seasonality data unavailable for AUDNZD.
CADJPY — Bearish (-3)
Key drivers
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
September seasonality data unavailable for CADJPY.
GBPUSD — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality is historically bearish for GBPUSD (avg -0.8%) — aligns with the bearish bias.
EURAUD — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURAUD.
EURCAD — Bullish (+2)
Key drivers
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURCAD.
EURNZD — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURNZD.
CHFJPY — Bearish (-2)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
September seasonality data unavailable for CHFJPY.
EURUSD — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
September seasonality is historically bearish for EURUSD (avg -0.6%) — aligns with the bearish bias.
USDCHF — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
September seasonality is historically bullish for USDCHF (avg +0.5%) — aligns with the bullish bias.
EURGBP — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bearish (-1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURGBP.
EURJPY — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
Conflicts
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURJPY.
EURCHF — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
September seasonality data unavailable for EURCHF.
GBPCHF — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPCHF.
GBPCAD — Mild Bull (+1)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPCAD.
GBPNZD — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Unemployment: bullish (+1)
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPNZD.
AUDJPY — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for AUDJPY.
CADCHF — Mild Bear (-1)
Key drivers
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
Conflicts
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
September seasonality data unavailable for CADCHF.
USDJPY — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- CPI: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality is historically bullish for USDJPY (avg +0.8%).
AUDUSD — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: bullish (+1)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: bearish (-1)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality is historically bearish for AUDUSD (avg -0.5%).
GBPJPY — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- GDP: strongly bearish (-2)
- CPI: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality data unavailable for GBPJPY.
AUDCHF — Neutral (0)
Key drivers
- Interest Rate Differential: strongly bullish (+2)
- Retail Sales: strongly bearish (-2)
- Unemployment: strongly bearish (-2)
- Momentum (beats vs misses): strongly bullish (+2)
Conflicts
No conflicts.
September seasonality data unavailable for AUDCHF.