Forex weekly bias
This page shows the current weekly macro bias across the major currencies: a one-line theme, a currency-strength chart, the three clearest pairs and last week's full board. Use it to decide which pairs deserve your attention before you look at a chart, then plan entries on your own timeframe.
01 —— The week in one line
02 —— Currency strength
03 —— Top three this week
04 —— Last week's board
What a weekly bias is for
A weekly bias is a directional lean for a currency pair that holds for days, not minutes. It comes from the slow-moving forces that push one economy's currency against another's: interest rates, growth, inflation, consumer spending, the labour market and how recent data compared with expectations. None of those change by the hour, so a bias built on them is meant to filter which pairs you trade and in which direction, not to time an entry.
Traders use it in two ways. Some only take setups that agree with the weekly read, which cuts the number of pairs they watch from twenty-eight to a handful. Others treat a strong opposing bias as a warning to reduce size or wait. Either way, the bias answers "where should I be looking?" and leaves "when do I click?" to your own method.
How to read this page
Start with the one-line theme. It names a currency only when that currency stands clearly apart from the rest; in quieter weeks it says there is no dominant theme and counts how many instruments still show strong alignment. The currency-strength chart then shows where each of the eight majors sits, so you can see whether the week is about one currency or several.
The top three are the pairs the model ranks first, with direction, a conviction label and the names of the inputs driving the read. They are listed in exactly the order the StraviaX dashboard uses. Last week's board shows every pair's score and direction from the most recent completed weekly report, so you can compare this week's leaders with where the board stood a week ago.
What it does not tell you
A macro bias says nothing about where price is relative to support, resistance or recent swings, and it does not account for scheduled event risk inside the week. Pair it with a chart and an economic calendar. Treat a Low-conviction read as information, not an instruction: it means the main inputs disagree or are thin.
How StraviaX calculates this
Each instrument has a headline score built only from its Macro block: the interest-rate differential between the two central banks, four economic figures for each economy (GDP, CPI, retail sales and unemployment, each compared base-versus-quote), and a data-surprise reading from each economy's most recent releases. Positive means the base currency is favoured.
Conviction is a separate label. It looks at three blocks — Macro, Sentiment (retail positioning, used only when the reading is fresh) and Seasonality — and is High when all three point the same way, Medium when two agree with none opposing, and Low when they conflict or only one has a view. Conviction is demoted one step when the two economies' data are of very different ages.
The top three are ordered score-first: pairs with a direction before neutral ones, then by the size of the score, then by conviction, then alphabetically. The driver names are the headline inputs pointing the same way as the score, largest first, up to three. The one-line theme uses the same strength thresholds as the weekly report. Scores recalculate after the morning and evening data runs.
Frequently asked questions
What is a forex weekly bias?
A directional lean for a currency pair over the coming week, based on macroeconomic drivers rather than price patterns. It helps you choose which pairs and which direction to focus on.
How often is the weekly bias updated?
The scores behind it recalculate twice a day after new economic data is collected. The weekly report that supplies last week's board is generated every Sunday evening.
Is a weekly bias the same as a forecast?
No. It summarises what the macro inputs currently favour. It does not predict price and should be combined with your own analysis and risk management.
Why does a pair with a big score have Low conviction?
Conviction measures agreement between the Macro, Sentiment and Seasonality blocks. A strong macro read with sentiment or seasonality pointing the other way is labelled Low.
Related
See all 28 pairs live — 7 days free
For information only, not investment advice. See the disclaimer.